Books
Representational Style in Congress: What Legislators Say and Why It Matters Cambridge University Press, 2013
The Impression of Influence: Legislator Communication, Representation, and Democratic Accountability With Sean Westwood and Solomon Messing. Princeton University Press, 2014.
- Awarded the 2014 Richard F. Fenno, Jr. Prize for the best book in legislative studies published in 2013.
- Subject of roundtable at Southern Political Science Association, 2015.
- Reviewed in: Congress & Presidency
The Impression of Influence: Legislator Communication, Representation, and Democratic Accountability With Sean Westwood and Solomon Messing. Princeton University Press, 2014.
- Subject of roundtable at Western Political Science Association, 2015.
- Reviewed in: Journal of Politics, Choice, Congress & The Presidency, Political Communication, Political Science Quarterly
Working Papers
How To Make Causal Inferences Using Texts (With Naoki Egami, Christian Fong, Molly Roberts, and Brandon Stewart) (Under Review)
Causal Inference with Latent Treatments (with Christian Fong) (Revised and Resubmitted) Supplementary Information
Who Put Trump in the White House? Explaining the Contribution of Voting Blocs to Trump's Victory (With Will Marble) (Under Review)
A Women's Voice in the House: Gender Composition and Its Consequences in Committee Hearings (with Pamela Ban, Jaclyn Kaslovsky, and Emily West) (Under Review)
Publications
Machine Learning for Social Science: An Agnostic Approach (with Margaret E. Roberts and Brandon Stewart) (Annual Review of Political Science, Forthcoming)
Partisan Enclaves and Information Bazaars: Mapping Selective Exposure to Online News (with Matt Tyler and Shanto Iyengar) (Journal of Politics, Forthcoming) Supplementary Information
The Durable Differential Deterrent Effects of Strict Photo Identification Laws (with Jesse Yoder) (Political Science Research & Methods, Forthcoming)
Political Cultures (With Lisa Blaydes) (Political Science Research & Methods, 2020)
Obstacles to estimating voter ID laws' effect on turnout (With Eitan Hersh, Marc Meredith, Jonathan Mummolo, and Clayton Nall) Journal of Politics, 2018. 80 (3) Replication Code Supplemental Appendix
Mirrors for Princes and Sultans: Advice on the Art of Governance in the Medieval Christian and Islamic Worlds (with Lisa Blaydes and Alison McQueen) Journal of Politics, 2018 80 (4) Supplemental Appendix Replication Code
Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects and the Effects of Heterogeneous Treatments with Ensemble Methods (With Solomon Messing and Sean J. Westwood) Political Analysis, 2017. 25(4) 413-434 Supplemental Appendix Replication Code
Discovery of Treatments from Text Corpora (with Christian Fong) In Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, ACL 2016, Berlin, Germany
Money in Exile: Campaign Contributions and Committee Access (with Eleanor Neff Powell) Journal of Politics, 2016. 78(4). 974-988 Supplemental Appendix Replication Code
Measuring Representational Style in the House: The Tea Party, Obama and Legislators' Changing Expressed Priorities in Data Analytics in Social Science, Government, and Industry Edited Volume from Cambridge University Press. 2016.
We're All Social Scientists Now: How Big Data, Machine Learning, and Causal Inference Work Together PS: Political Science & Politics, 2015. 48(1), 80-83
Congressmen in Exile: The Politics and Consequences of Involuntary Committee Removal (with Eleanor Neff Powell) The Journal of Politics, 2013. 75(4), 907-920. Supplementary Information Replication Code
Appropriators Not Position Takers: The Distorting Effects of Electoral Incentives on Congressional Representation American Journal of Political Science, 2013. 57 (3), 624-642 Supplementary Information Replication Code
Text as Data: The Promise and Pitfalls of Automatic Content Analysis Methods for Political Texts (with Brandon Stewart) Political Analysis, 2013. 21 (3), 267--297
- Awarded Political Analysis Editor's Choice Award for an article providing an especially significant contribution to political methodology.
Elevated Threat-Levels and Decreased Expectations: How Democracy Handles Terrorist Threats (with Tabitha Bonilla) Poetics, 2013. 41, 650--669 (Special Issue on Topic Models in Social Science)
Evaluating Model Performance in Fictitious Prediction Problems. Discussion of ``Multinomial Inverse Regression for Text Analysis" by Matthew Taddy. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2013.108 (503) 770-771
How Words and Money Cultivate a Personal Vote: The Effect of Legislator Credit Claiming on Constituent Credit Allocation (with Solomon Messing and Sean Westwood) American Political Science Review, 2012. 106 (4), 703-719. Supplementary Information Replication Code
General Purpose Computer-Assisted Clustering and Conceptualization (With Gary King) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2011. 108(7), 2643-2650.
- Selected media coverage: NPR "On the Media" http://ow.ly/4FhmV ; NPR "Here and Now" http://j.mp/eGBUQy ; NewsMax http://ow.ly/4BeAG ; Wisconsin Public Radio "Joy Cardin" http://j.mp/eUAZ2C ; Forbes Magazine http://t.co/qiaU0nR ; New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/10/opinion/10kristof.html?_r=2&hp ; Washington Post http://j.mp/etHP8D ; PBS (Top Ten Data Mining Ideas of 2011) http://www.pbs.org/idealab/2012/01/the-top-10-data-mining-links-of-2011006.html
An Introduction to Bayesian Inference via Variational Approximations Political Analysis, 2011. 19 (1) 32-47 Supplemental Notes
- Included in Political Analysis virtual issue on Big Data in Political Science
Approval Regulation and Endogenous Provision of Confidence: Theory and Analogies to Licensing, Safety, and Financial Regulation (with Dan Carpenter and Eric Lomazoff) Regulation and Governance, 2010. 4(4) 383-407
A Bayesian Hierarchical Topic Model for Political Texts: Measuring Expressed Agendas in Senate Press Releases Political Analysis, 2010. 18(1) 1-35.
- Awarded 2010 Robert H Durr Award for the best paper presented at 2009 Midwest Political Science Association meeting applying quantitative methods to a substantive problem.
- Awarded 2011 Warren Miller Prize for the best paper published in Political Analysis in 2010.
- Included in Political Analysis virtual issue on Bayesian methods in Political Science
- Supplemental Notes
Dormant Working Papers
The Limited Effect of Presidential Public Appeals (with Annie Franco and Chloe Lim) Supplemental Appendix
Changing the Subject to Build an Audience: How Elected Officials Affect Constituent Communication (with Annie Franco and Monica Lee)
Creating and Destroying Party Brands (With Craig Goodman, David Parker, and Frances Zlotnick)
Are Close Elections Random? (With Brian Feinstein, Eitan Hersh, and Dan Carpenter) Supplementary Information
A Class of Bayesian Semiparametric Cluster-Topic Models for Political Texts (with Rachel Shorey, Hanna Wallach, and Frances Zlotnik)
The Downside of Deadlines (with Dan Carpenter).
- Popular Press Reaction: Boston Globe , Washington Post